Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:24:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75c2…0a24
crypto · 1044 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$597 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$597 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$597
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses607 / 437
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1044 / 1044
History coverage44d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day54.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1044 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$90
7 days−$606
14 days−$410
30 days−$532
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$12 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$24 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$13 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$13 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$21 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$13 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$597
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 256 -6.2% -15.1% 58% 58% -20.8%
≤30d 425 -9.7% -18.3% 56% 56% -17.1%
≤90d 1044 -5.5% -14.5% 58% 58% -15.8%
all 1044 -5.5% -14.5% 58% 58% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 58% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 55% -23.8%
15% -30.1% 45% -31.2%
20% -37.0% 32% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records