Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:07:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75c7…909d
sports · 287 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,420 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,312 · open −$108
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$162
Realized−$3,312
Unrealized−$108
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses133 / 152
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$466
Open positions2
Markets (closed)285 / 287
History coverage111d
Avg bet$169
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 285 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$887
7 days+$1,030
14 days+$1,030
30 days−$1,979
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $120 $117 −$3 (-2%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 62¢ 18¢ $150 $45 −$105 (-70%)
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims) Geoff Neal 66¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Clippers 40¢ 0¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs LOS 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card) Michael Aswell 33¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $281 $0 −$281 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Jazz Jazz 25¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 69¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) Melquizael Costa 47¢ 0¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Spread: Hornets (-7.5) Trail Blazers 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Bulls Rockets 28¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) Roman Dolidze 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winner ALGO Esports 21¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 37¢ 0¢ $378 $0 −$378 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Mavericks Mavericks 25¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 45¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Celtics Thunder 68¢ 0¢ $152 $0 −$152 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Team Vitality 25¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) Rob Font 23¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Astralis 31¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Athletics 46¢ 0¢ $328 $0 −$328 (-100%)
Spread: Warriors (-14.5) Warriors 43¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 26¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $210 +$114 +54%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $306 +$356 +116%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $154 −$152 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $253 +$193 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$38 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $407 +$644 +158%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $286 −$281 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $351 −$345 -98%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $286 +$163 +57%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $254 −$250 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $152 −$150 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $247 +$173 +70%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $129 −$127 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $414 +$235 +57%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $506 +$361 +71%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $147 −$144 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $396 +$450 +114%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $179 −$176 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $480 +$96 +20%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $619 −$609 -98%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $69 −$68 -98%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $674 +$492 +73%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $395 −$390 -99%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $204 −$200 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $187 −$185 -99%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $202 +$80 +40%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $122 +$211 +172%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $340 +$155 +46%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $660 −$650 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $384 −$378 -98%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $674 +$708 +105%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $579 −$570 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $300 −$296 -99%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $295 +$470 +159%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $226 −$222 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $424 +$202 +48%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $700 +$180 +26%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $295 −$291 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $338 −$334 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $258 +$375 +145%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 07 $136 −$134 -99%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $155 +$150 +97%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $254 +$255 +101%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $512 +$685 +134%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $203 −$200 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $333 −$329 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $245 +$127 +52%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $151 +$58 +38%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 07 $71 +$31 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$4,599
other 9% +$1,325
crypto 0% −$145
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $325 25m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $123 50m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 62¢ $152 52m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 64¢ $210 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $661 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $153 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 61¢ $154 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $446 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 17¢ $39 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 56¢ $253 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $153 13h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,052 14h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $286 14h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $407 16h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 44¢ $351 16h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream SELL New York Liberty 89¢ $448 16h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 56¢ $286 18h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOUD 51¢ $254 19h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 46¢ $152 20h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 100¢ $420 21h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $129 22h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 58¢ $247 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $649 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $414 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $867 27h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 24¢ $51 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 58¢ $506 29h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 26¢ $147 29h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $846 29h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $396 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -4.5% -13.6% 54% 54% -4.0%
≤30d 88 -11.8% -20.2% 47% 47% -16.0%
≤90d 203 -9.6% -18.2% 45% 45% -17.2%
all 285 -7.1% -16.0% 47% 47% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.0% 47% -15.8%
10% -24.0% 45% -23.8%
15% -31.3% 43% -31.2%
20% -38.1% 35% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $161.63 · official $161.63 (match) · 457 history records