Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:24:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75cc…3ce1
crypto · 380 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$608 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$647 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$227
Realized+$647
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses222 / 146
Open positions10
Markets (closed)368 / 380
History coverage1d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day3121.0
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 368 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$647
7 days+$647
14 days+$647
30 days+$647
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 32¢ 100¢ $18 $57 +$39 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $34 $45 +$11 (+32%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $11 $32 +$21 (+197%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $17 $20 +$3 (+15%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 54¢ 86¢ $11 $18 +$7 (+61%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $14 $17 +$3 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 52¢ 78¢ $11 $17 +$6 (+51%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 71¢ 78¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+9%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 88¢ 82¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 32¢ 57¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+79%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 91¢ 18¢ $9 $2 −$7 (-81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 60¢ 22¢ $4 $1 −$2 (-64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 61¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 65¢ 42¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 51¢ 14¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 74¢ 40¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-47%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$9 -787%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$12 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$14 +58%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$25 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$30 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $86 −$4 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$12 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$5 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$3 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$5 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$14 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$9 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +109%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$13 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$24 +103%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$7 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$12 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$3 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$1 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$3 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$2 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$6 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $123 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$5 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$2 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$636
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $20 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $7 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 368 +10.9% +0.3% 60% 39% -5.1%
≤30d 368 +10.9% +0.3% 60% 39% -5.1%
≤90d 368 +10.9% +0.3% 60% 39% -5.1%
all 368 +10.9% +0.3% 60% 39% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3121.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.3% 39% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -9.3% 21% -14.2%
15% -18.0% 11% -22.5%
20% -26.1% 8% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $227.15 · official $219.94 · 3500 history records