Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:59:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75d1…9d8a
crypto · 1403 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$287 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$285 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$285
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses747 / 654
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1401 / 1403
History coverage11d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day133.3
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1401 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$58
14 days+$285
30 days+$285
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 48¢ 50¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 49¢ 98¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+101%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$58 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$287
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 703 -2.7% -12.0% 51% 51% -11.6%
≤30d 1401 +2.3% -7.4% 53% 53% -3.9%
≤90d 1401 +2.3% -7.4% 53% 53% -3.9%
all 1401 +2.3% -7.4% 53% 53% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 53% -3.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 53% -13.1%
15% -24.4% 53% -21.5%
20% -31.8% 53% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.27 · official $9.13 · 3500 history records