Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T17:41:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x75e0…ea50 crypto 80 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$249 (-3%) realized −$249 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate50%40W / 40L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$93per market
Trades / day53.8pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$114
7 days−$114
14 days−$872
30 days−$872
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$762
sports 2% −$105
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -7.4% -16.2% 55% 43% -12.2%
≤30d 80 -13.2% -21.5% 50% 41% -21.8%
≤90d 80 -13.2% -21.5% 50% 41% -21.8%
all 80 -13.2% -21.5% 50% 41% -21.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.5% 41% -21.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.0% 31% -29.3%
15% -35.9% 29% -36.1%
20% -42.1% 22% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$40 vs −$62 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$249
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses40 / 40
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)80 / 80
History coverage11d
Avg bet$93
Trades / day53.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 80 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 25 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $98 −$30 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $98 −$15 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 25 $158 −$150 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $47 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $137 +$57 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $189 −$128 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $97 −$26 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $147 +$59 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 25 $96 +$40 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $84 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $146 +$87 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $63 +$23 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $106 −$44 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $33 −$31 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $173 +$240 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $76 +$76 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 25 $61 +$9 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $138 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $36 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 25 $141 +$83 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 25 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$16 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 25 $81 +$14 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $34 +$42 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 25 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $16 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $135 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 25 $77 −$75 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $205 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 25 $68 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $295 −$58 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $104 −$87 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $159 +$44 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $22 +$19 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $83 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $111 +$45 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 25 $47 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $136 +$181 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $31 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $16 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $53 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $30 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $26 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $52 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $16 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $16 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $64 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $8 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $52 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $31 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 610 history records