Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T11:46:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x75e2…962f crypto 1723 markets active 0h ago coverage 128d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 128d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1 (-0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1683W / 40L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day13.5pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$19
other 2% −$3
sports 2% −$6
weather 1% +$2
tech 1% +$1
politics 1% +$1
finance 1% $0
culture 0% $0
economics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -1.1% -10.6% 97% 0% -10.4%
≤30d 497 +0.8% -8.8% 99% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 1166 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 0% -9.1%
all 1723 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 1% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

128d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1683 / 40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1723 / 1723
History coverage128d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1723 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 15? Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 14h
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 99¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records