trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -47.4% | -52.4% | 27% | 18% | -46.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -51.8% | -56.4% | 25% | 17% | -47.4% |
| all | 13 | -55.5% | -59.7% | 23% | 15% | -47.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -59.7% | 15% | -47.9% |
| 10% | -63.6% | 15% | -52.9% |
| 15% | -67.1% | 8% | -57.5% |
| 20% | -70.3% | 8% | -61.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Japan | 41¢ | 42¢ | $70 | $71 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $112 | −$110 | -99% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$5 | -52% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $61 | −$12 | -19% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$8 | -81% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$47 | +93% |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | May 24 | $3 | −$3 | -94% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May? | May 24 | $16 | +$6 | +34% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | May 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 1 | Dec 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |