Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:55:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75f6…a970
crypto · 455 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$99 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$98
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses231 / 223
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)454 / 455
History coverage65d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 454 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$4 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$97
politics 2% −$2
other 0% −$2
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -6.8% -15.6% 50% 44% -14.3%
≤30d 236 -6.8% -15.6% 50% 44% -14.3%
≤90d 454 -10.6% -19.1% 51% 44% -17.3%
all 454 -10.6% -19.1% 51% 44% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 44% -17.3%
10% -26.9% 35% -25.2%
15% -33.9% 27% -32.5%
20% -40.4% 19% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.06 (match) · 1440 history records