trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +92.4% | +74.1% | 33% | 33% | +42.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +92.4% | +74.1% | 33% | 33% | +42.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +92.4% | +74.1% | 33% | 33% | +42.9% |
| all | 22 | +7.3% | -2.9% | 23% | 18% | +17.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.9% | 18% | +17.1% |
| 10% | -12.2% | 14% | +5.9% |
| 15% | -20.7% | 14% | -4.3% |
| 20% | -28.5% | 14% | -13.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $328 | $322 | −$6 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $305 | −$300 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $154 | −$150 | -97% |
| Spread: Croatia (-3.5) | Jun 23 | $477 | −$464 | -97% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $632 | −$616 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $406 | −$396 | -98% |
| Spread: Japan (-3.5) | Jun 21 | $334 | +$3,274 | +980% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $301 | +$316 | +105% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $317 | −$16 | -5% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 21 | $10 | +$25 | +251% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Jan 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars? | Jan 13 | $209 | −$207 | -99% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | Jan 12 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | Jan 12 | $6 | −$2 | -26% |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | Jan 12 | $4 | −$1 | -20% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 11 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Jan 10 | $5 | +$1 | +22% |
| North Korea missile launch by January 31? | Jan 10 | $16 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Jan 10 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el | Jan 07 | $16 | $0 | -2% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 07 | $9 | −$3 | -36% |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9? | Jan 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 03 | $499 | −$499 | -100% |