Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:55:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x760f…45d8
other · 18 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$398 +66%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$387 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$174
Realized+$387
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses6 / 6
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions6
Markets (closed)12 / 18
History coverage1d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day36.0
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 6 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$387
7 days+$387
14 days+$387
30 days+$387
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? No 24¢ 24¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $48 $46 −$2 (-4%)
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? Yes 53¢ 46¢ $45 $39 −$6 (-14%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 7¢ $20 $36 +$16 (+78%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-98%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -3%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $112 +$43 +38%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $41 −$40 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $20 −$5 -23%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $51 +$97 +190%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $26 +$50 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$18 +68%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $17 +$307 +1843%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% +$4
sports 23% +$370
crypto 10% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 24¢ $51 1h
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? BUY Yes 53¢ $46 1h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $21 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 60¢ $30 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 63¢ $19 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 64¢ $68 13h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $51 13h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $155 14h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 90¢ $30 14h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 90¢ $15 14h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $41 16h
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 4¢ $16 16h
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 5¢ $20 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $31 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $35 17h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $33 17h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 99¢ $67 17h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 92¢ $83 17h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 75¢ $32 17h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $31 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 18h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 13¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $44 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+134.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +159.0% +134.3% 50% 42% +76.2%
≤30d 12 +159.0% +134.3% 50% 42% +76.2%
≤90d 12 +159.0% +134.3% 50% 42% +76.2%
all 12 +159.0% +134.3% 50% 42% +76.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +134.3% 42% +76.2%
10% ← realistic here +111.9% 42% +59.3%
15% +91.4% 42% +43.9%
20% +72.6% 33% +29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $174.15 · official $180.68 · 38 history records