Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:46:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7623…2ccc
crypto · 1041 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$141 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$141 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized+$141
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses698 / 338
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1036 / 1041
History coverage142d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 5 History 1036 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days+$94
14 days+$125
30 days+$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes 58¢ 64¢ $12 $14 +$1 (+11%)
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 31¢ 33¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 50¢ 43¢ $10 $9 −$2 (-15%)
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes 29¢ 24¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-19%)
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 39¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $438 $0 −$438 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 1AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30? Jun 13 $4 +$16 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$16 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$15 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$19 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$70 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$13 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$137
sports 0% $0
other 0% +$13
politics 0% +$1
tech 0% −$10
world 0% $0
finance 0% $0
economics 0% $0
weather 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $15 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $60 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $12 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 249 +8.8% -1.5% 78% 65% -7.2%
≤30d 337 +7.4% -2.9% 77% 65% -7.7%
≤90d 495 +5.6% -4.5% 73% 60% -7.6%
all 1036 -1.8% -11.1% 67% 46% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 46% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 29% -17.7%
15% -27.4% 17% -25.7%
20% -34.5% 11% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.96 · official $36.96 (match) · 3317 history records