Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:01:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7627…a723
crypto · 91 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$89 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses56 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)91 / 91
History coverage1d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day693.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 91 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$89
7 days−$89
14 days−$89
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $66 −$6 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$9 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$7 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $70 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $82 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $127 −$37 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$9 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $95 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $69 +$11 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $56 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $109 −$9 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $143 −$23 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$14 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -2.5% -11.8% 62% 13% -12.4%
≤30d 91 -2.5% -11.8% 62% 13% -12.4%
≤90d 91 -2.5% -11.8% 62% 13% -12.4%
all 91 -2.5% -11.8% 62% 13% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover693.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 13% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 7% -20.8%
15% -27.9% 5% -28.5%
20% -35.0% 3% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 789 history records