Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7629…226c
sports · 2030 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,145 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,183 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$550
Realized+$1,183
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1139 / 413
Est. fees paid−$78
Open positions107
Markets (closed)1552 / 2030
History coverage9d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day263.9
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 107 History 1552 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$484
7 days+$844
14 days+$1,183
30 days+$1,183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-12? No 84¢ 51¢ $40 $24 −$16 (-40%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 48¢ 62¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+27%)
Set 1 Winner: Vidmanova vs Stefanini Vidmanova 51¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+95%)
Set Handicap: Golubic (-1.5) vs Swan (+1.5) Swan 60¢ 99¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+65%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 80¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 80¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 79¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 80¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 80¢ 98¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Bublik 40¢ 60¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+49%)
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5) Auger-Aliassime 48¢ 71¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+48%)
Henrique Rocha vs. Darwin Blanch: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 41¢ 57¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+39%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 47¢ 65¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+38%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 84¢ 90¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 Over 58¢ 76¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+31%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Darja Vidmanova 80¢ 82¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 80¢ 82¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 82¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? Yes 82¢ 84¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 0.5 Over 86¢ 88¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 80¢ 81¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 80¢ 81¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 0.5 Over 87¢ 88¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Duckworth vs. Harris: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Set 1 Winner: Zidansek vs Hercog Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Watanuki vs. Dias: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Heilbronn (Doubles): Jung/Uesugi vs Nagal/Trungelliti Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Kilian Feldbausch Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Perugia: Remy Bertola vs Francesco Maestrelli Jun 12 $4 $0 -11%
Perugia: Francesco Forti vs Reilly Opelka Jun 12 $4 $0 -12%
Spread: Thunder (-7.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Faria vs. Nava: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Stephens vs. Pigato: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Jenson Brooksby vs. Alex Molcan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Gill vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Carabelli vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 40.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ellis vs. Zink: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dominik Palan vs. Maan Kesharwani: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Kalinina (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Darderi Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Cervia: Juan Martin vs Michele Ribecai Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Set Handicap: Parry (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ruud vs. Navone: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Playoff Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Jacob Fearnley vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Keys vs. Ferro: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$1,921
other 12% +$135
world 0% +$2
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 80¢ $5 11m
Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Bublik BUY Perricard 43¢ $4 12m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 80¢ $5 12m
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 87¢ $5 13m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 84¢ $5 14m
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 84¢ $5 19m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Darja Vidmanova 80¢ $5 20m
Will FF Jaro win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 81¢ $5 36m
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 85¢ $5 39m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 80¢ $5 47m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 81¢ $5 55m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 80¢ $5 1h
Galway United FC vs. Dundalk FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $5 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 80¢ $5 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 83¢ $5 1h
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 86¢ $5 1h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 81¢ $5 2h
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 80¢ $5 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 80¢ $5 2h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 80¢ $5 2h
Spread: COD Meknès (-1.5) BUY RCA Zemamra 84¢ $5 2h
Will AC Oulu win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $5 2h
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 89¢ $5 2h
Tampereen Ilves vs. Turun Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 85¢ $5 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 87¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 89¢ $5 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 80¢ $5 3h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 82¢ $5 3h
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 52¢ $3 3h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Alexander Shevchenko 82¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)+9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1424 +14.0% +3.1% 72% 72% +2.3%
≤30d 1552 +20.5% +9.0% 73% 73% +5.8%
≤90d 1552 +20.5% +9.0% 73% 73% +5.8%
all 1552 +20.5% +9.0% 73% 73% +5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover263.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.0% 73% +5.8%
10% ← realistic here -1.4% 41% -4.3%
15% -10.9% 20% -13.6%
20% -19.7% 20% -22.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $549.54 · official $547.84 (match) · 3500 history records