Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7637…3b4f
other · 59 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$123 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$124 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized−$124
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses9 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)58 / 59
History coverage549d
Avg bet$332
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 1 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $33 $33 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $18 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 11 $16 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 10 $11 $0 -0%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $12 $0 -0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 08 $12 $0 -0%
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 04 $10 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $10 $0 -0%
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 03 $12 $0 -0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 01 $12 $0 -0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Jun 01 $33 $0 +0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $20 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $10 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 23 $10 $0 -0%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 13 $56 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 12 $56 $0 -0%
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 11 $54 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 07 $54 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 06 $56 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $54 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $55 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $55 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $53 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 01 $56 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 30 $52 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 27 $57 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $55 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $57 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 20 $54 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 19 $55 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $57 $0 -0%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $10 +$8 +79%
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings Apr 08 $8 −$8 -100%
Predators vs. Kings Apr 07 $10 +$8 +79%
76ers vs. Spurs Apr 07 $15 +$4 +29%
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? Apr 06 $22 +$2 +9%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? Apr 06 $43 $0 +0%
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5) Mar 27 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Mar 05 $4 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February? Mar 05 $82 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Feb 09 $13,733 −$14 -0%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 17 $141 $0 +0%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 27 $115 −$2 -2%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 27 $513 −$11 -2%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Oct 27 $709 −$17 -2%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom Oct 26 $324 −$11 -3%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 26 $36 −$1 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 71% −$14
politics 23% −$78
other 4% +$8
crypto 1% $0
sports 1% −$41
tech 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? BUY No 100¢ $33 2h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $18 34h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $11 37h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $7 38h
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $6 3d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $6 3d
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $11 4d
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $11 4d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 5d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 5d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 59¢ $7 5d
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $12 5d
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $12 5d
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 8d
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 9d
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $10 10d
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 10d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 11d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 11d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 11d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $10 11d
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 11d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $10 11d
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $12 13d
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $12 13d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 14d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 14d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 15d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 15d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 21d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -16.8% -24.7% 0% 0% -18.2%
≤30d 15 -6.8% -15.7% 7% 0% -12.8%
≤90d 41 -7.5% -16.3% 15% 7% -11.7%
all 58 -5.8% -14.8% 16% 5% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 5% -10.1%
10% -22.9% 5% -18.7%
15% -30.4% 3% -26.6%
20% -37.2% 3% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.01 · official $33.01 (match) · 257 history records