trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 3 | +90.6% | +72.5% | 33% | 33% | -21.0% |
| all | 6 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 17% | 17% | -87.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 17% | -87.3% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 17% | -88.5% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 17% | -89.6% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 17% | -90.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 29 | $372 | −$22 | -6% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 29 | $150 | +$256 | +170% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 14 | $303 | −$303 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 29 | $100 | −$90 | -90% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Jan 14 | $69 | −$69 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 13 | $2,710 | −$2,710 | -100% |