Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:27:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7664…c7bf
crypto · 866 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$133 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$133 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$133
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses499 / 399
Open positions0
Markets (closed)898 / 866
History coverage20d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day133.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 898 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$68
7 days−$81
14 days−$119
30 days−$133
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +6914%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$16 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 241 -5.1% -14.1% 51% 5% -11.3%
≤30d 898 -1.6% -10.9% 56% 6% -10.4%
≤90d 898 -1.6% -10.9% 56% 6% -10.4%
all 898 -1.6% -10.9% 56% 6% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 6% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 1% -19.0%
15% -27.2% 1% -26.8%
20% -34.4% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records