Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:58:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x766d…732d
crypto · 1516 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$496 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$496 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$496
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1303 / 213
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1516 / 1516
History coverage40d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day41.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1516 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$170
14 days−$270
30 days−$506
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$14 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +166%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$496
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -8.5% -17.2% 38% 37% -26.5%
≤30d 1475 -2.8% -12.0% 87% 12% -11.4%
≤90d 1516 -2.7% -12.0% 86% 13% -11.3%
all 1516 -2.7% -12.0% 86% 13% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 13% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 6% -19.8%
15% -28.1% 5% -27.5%
20% -35.1% 5% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3204 history records