Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:24:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7670…43b9
crypto · 1640 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,676 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,270 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,270
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses1025 / 505
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1530 / 1640
History coverage8d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day293.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 1530 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,302
7 days−$2,863
14 days−$1,270
30 days−$1,270
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $96 −$96 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$200 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$200 -200%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$9,889
other 2% +$190
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $19 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 42m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $19 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $15 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $14 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $17 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $14 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $18 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $19 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $16 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1335 +6.5% -3.6% 64% 64% -15.5%
≤30d 1530 +11.6% +1.0% 67% 67% -10.3%
≤90d 1530 +11.6% +1.0% 67% 67% -10.3%
all 1530 +11.6% +1.0% 67% 67% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover293.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.0% 67% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -8.7% 66% -18.9%
15% -17.5% 63% -26.7%
20% -25.6% 52% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records