Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T15:37:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
76 0x7675…d192 sports 49 markets active 5d ago coverage 22d
COPY-WORTHYcopy this sports specialistFresh edge
Total PnL +$15 (+3%) realized +$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +31% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +14% what you keep after slip
Net edge+14%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate53%26W / 23L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day3.6pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit51%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$8
14 days+$48
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 55% −$6
other 45% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +42.6% +29.1% 50% 50% -7.0%
≤30d 49 +30.7% +18.2% 53% 53% -6.6%
≤90d 49 +30.7% +18.2% 53% 53% -6.6%
all 49 +30.7% +18.2% 53% 53% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +18.2% 53% -6.6%
10% +6.9% 49% -15.6%
15% -3.4% 47% -23.7%
20% -12.9% 41% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +31% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late +48% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$8 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses26 / 23
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage22d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit51%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 49 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 $0 -1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +44%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $5 +$7 +129%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $5 +$9 +172%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $8 +$13 +158%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $2 +$19 +926%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $54 −$28 -52%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $16 −$16 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $30 +$16 +53%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 +$6 +124%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $8 +$8 +93%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $13 −$1 -10%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $5 +$9 +172%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $8 +$8 +100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $16 −$16 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $8 +$10 +126%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $8 −$8 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 09 $8 −$8 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 09 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 +$14 +139%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $11 $0 -4%
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$1 +29%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 +$1 +13%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$12 +231%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $2 +$8 +379%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $10 +$5 +54%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Curico Unido win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $5 +$4 +79%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 09 $10 +$4 +40%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 09 $10 +$15 +146%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 +$1 +11%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 +$7 +64%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? Jun 06 $10 +$6 +62%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 01 $5 −$5 -99%
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $10 −$10 -99%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 22 $5 −$5 -98%
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins May 22 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22? May 22 $6 +$3 +54%
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21? May 22 $9 −$9 -99%
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21? May 22 $5 +$5 +90%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels May 21 $3 +$2 +46%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24? May 21 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 37¢ $20 4d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $20 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 5d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 38¢ $8 5d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Houston Astros 33¢ $8 5d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 36¢ $5 5d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 94¢ $21 5d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 9¢ $2 5d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 4¢ $2 5d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 51¢ $20 5d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers SELL Minnesota Twins 46¢ $21 5d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 53¢ $20 5d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 55¢ $5 5d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 53¢ $8 5d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 63¢ $8 5d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 20¢ $8 5d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 43¢ $5 5d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 43¢ $8 5d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres SELL Cincinnati Reds 80¢ $14 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY Cincinnati Reds 47¢ $8 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres SELL San Diego Padres 61¢ $11 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres SELL Cincinnati Reds 38¢ $9 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY Cincinnati Reds 35¢ $8 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 27¢ $5 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres SELL Cincinnati Reds 73¢ $12 6d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 50¢ $5 6d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics SELL Milwaukee Brewers 57¢ $12 6d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 100¢ $14 6d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 39¢ $8 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY Cincinnati Reds 48¢ $8 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 91 history records