Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x767d…b4ff
crypto · 57 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -58%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$39
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses8 / 42
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)50 / 57
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day19.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 7 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$39
14 days−$39
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-39%)
Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-43%)
Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-45%)
Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-49%)
Will "Ran To Atlanta - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-51%)
Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 -11%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the we Jun 12 $1 −$1 -70%
Will "i hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Jun 12 $1 −$1 -83%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I Jun 12 $1 $0 -27%
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 # Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -78%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -82%
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -75%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -90%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song f Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -74%
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the we Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "Ran To Atlanta - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$3 +235%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$2 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$26
culture 25% −$15
weather 3% −$1
other 1% $0
sports 1% −$1
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 10h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 10h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 45¢ $1 10h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 10h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 0¢ $1 10h
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the we SELL Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will "i hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard SELL Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song SELL Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I SELL Yes 0¢ $1 10h
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 # SELL No 0¢ $0 11h
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I BUY Yes 0¢ $1 11h
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? BUY No 1¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-60.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -56.6% -60.7% 16% 14% -62.1%
≤30d 50 -56.6% -60.7% 16% 14% -62.1%
≤90d 50 -56.6% -60.7% 16% 14% -62.1%
all 50 -56.6% -60.7% 16% 14% -62.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -60.7% 14% -62.1%
10% -64.5% 12% -65.7%
15% -67.9% 12% -69.0%
20% -71.0% 10% -72.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.00 · official $3.00 (match) · 116 history records