Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:15:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7682…312a
other · 6 markets active 8h ago
3.5score
+$2 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 6
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$4 +109%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$5
sports 24% −$3
crypto 16% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 7¢ $2 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 43h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 43h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 43h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 43h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $2 43h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $3 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +23.0% +11.3% 67% 67% +11.1%
≤30d 3 +23.0% +11.3% 67% 67% +11.1%
≤90d 3 +23.0% +11.3% 67% 67% +11.1%
all 3 +23.0% +11.3% 67% 67% +11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.3% 67% +11.1%
10% +0.6% 67% +0.5%
15% -9.1% 67% -9.2%
20% -18.0% 67% -18.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.01 · official $4.01 · 9 history records