Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:08:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7687…55f8
sports · 29 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$75 +41%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$64 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$23
Realized+$64
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses15 / 12
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)27 / 29
History coverage114d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$63
14 days+$63
30 days+$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 50¢ 57¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+13%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 55¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner DN Freecs 40¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 60¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner DN Freecs 24¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 16¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winner DN SOOPers 10¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 32¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs BNK FEARX 13¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 20¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 20¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 +$8 +76%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$9 +303%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $19 +$21 +113%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $27 −$6 -23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$6 +183%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1 +$36 +3556%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 14 $3 −$1 -50%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 14 $1 +$1 +128%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 14 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 10 $5 −$4 -80%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 09 $2 +$3 +150%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner May 09 $3 +$3 +100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 08 $1 +$10 +950%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 07 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 04 $7 +$3 +41%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 03 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 03 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Apr 17 $3 +$4 +138%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $3 +$4 +106%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 15 $2 +$1 +64%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Apr 15 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs Mar 01 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winner Feb 20 $14 −$3 -23%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner Feb 20 $7 $0 +2%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner Feb 20 $5 +$2 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $20 16m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 55¢ $10 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 56¢ $10 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster $1 25h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 83¢ $12 27h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 20¢ $3 27h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $40 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 38¢ $8 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ $11 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 $1 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 98¢ $20 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 $2 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $7 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $1 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $1 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $1 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $1 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $1 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 20¢ $4 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 23¢ $4 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 23¢ $5 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $8 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports $1 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 20¢ $4 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $5 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $10 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 35¢ $4 2d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 100¢ $25 6d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 47¢ $12 6d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+140.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +296.9% +259.1% 62% 62% +82.3%
≤30d 8 +296.9% +259.1% 62% 62% +82.3%
≤90d 23 +156.7% +132.2% 57% 57% +47.7%
all 27 +165.4% +140.1% 56% 56% +36.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +140.1% 56% +36.6%
10% +117.1% 56% +23.5%
15% +96.2% 56% +11.6%
20% +76.9% 48% +0.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.58 · official $22.59 (match) · 85 history records