Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x768a…6a84
crypto · 283 markets active 5h ago
1.5score
+$368 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$371 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$101
Realized+$371
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses120 / 161
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions2
Markets (closed)281 / 283
History coverage20d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day40.7
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 281 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$179
7 days+$179
14 days+$165
30 days+$371
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 19¢ 19¢ $80 $78 −$2 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 48¢ 46¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$15 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$24 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$95 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$30 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $16 +$15 +94%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$9 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$10 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$211
other 6% −$15
sports 4% +$172
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $33 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $28 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $61 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +7.5% -2.8% 48% 39% +8.5%
≤30d 281 -9.8% -18.4% 43% 37% -4.2%
≤90d 281 -9.8% -18.4% 43% 37% -4.2%
all 281 -9.8% -18.4% 43% 37% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 37% -4.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 34% -13.4%
15% -33.4% 29% -21.7%
20% -39.9% 26% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $101.43 · official $101.43 (match) · 942 history records