Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:00:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x768d…d230
sports · 140 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$177 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$281 · open −$108
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$617
Realized+$281
Unrealized−$108
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses48 / 77
Est. fees paid−$56
Open positions11
Markets (closed)125 / 140
History coverage105d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 11 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$335
7 days+$390
14 days+$326
30 days+$326
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $210 $175 −$35 (-17%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $178 $150 −$28 (-16%)
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 29¢ 32¢ $58 $65 +$7 (+12%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $65 $62 −$2 (-4%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $50 $45 −$5 (-10%)
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $45 $37 −$7 (-17%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $35 +$5 (+17%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $40 $30 −$10 (-25%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $10 −$20 (-67%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9 $4 −$4 (-50%)
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-75%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears SSG Landers 16¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 50¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Cincinnati Reds 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears SSG Landers 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 1.5 Under 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles LG Twins 17¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) Boston Red Sox 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds 45¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $41 −$30 -73%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $20 +$25 +124%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $101 +$20 +20%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $41 −$17 -41%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $192 +$218 +114%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $252 +$24 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $203 −$194 -96%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 −$11 -71%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 Jun 13 $16 +$54 +336%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $25 +$70 +286%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $97 +$98 +101%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 +$51 +250%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 +$26 +129%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $111 +$174 +156%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $16 −$16 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $36 −$25 -70%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $11 −$9 -83%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $10 +$30 +291%
Spread: Russia (-2.5) Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $31 −$6 -20%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $21 −$20 -98%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $20 −$19 -98%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $16 +$20 +127%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $31 −$30 -98%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $9 −$9 -98%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $25 −$25 -98%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $15 +$35 +237%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $31 +$73 +238%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants Jun 09 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $15 −$15 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $126 +$110 +88%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $18 −$18 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $67 −$66 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $41 −$10 -24%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 09 $30 +$30 +97%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) Jun 08 $41 −$30 -73%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $21 +$29 +134%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 08 $15 −$15 -98%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $31 −$30 -98%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $37 −$36 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $96 +$82 +85%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $156 −$10 -6%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $31 +$66 +216%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 07 $30 +$14 +49%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $30 −$30 -99%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 07 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $21 −$1 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% +$177
other 43% +$293
politics 4% −$197
world 2% −$89
crypto 0% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $15 13m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 11¢ $11 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 40¢ $41 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $20 14h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $101 16h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) SELL Scotland 22¢ $24 16h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 36¢ $41 18h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 89¢ $310 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-1 BUY 7¢ $7 21h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $192 21h
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $124 21h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $277 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 1¢ $9 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 13¢ $103 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 87¢ $100 22h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 3¢ $5 22h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 7¢ $8 23h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 17¢ $7 23h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 91¢ $95 40h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 97¢ $39 40h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 97¢ $3 40h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 97¢ $153 40h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $82 41h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $25 42h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $46 42h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? AND Will United States win on 20 BUY 8¢ $22 43h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 50¢ $47 46h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $20 47h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $20 47h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 22¢ $16 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +10.8% +0.3% 41% 39% +5.9%
≤30d 60 +12.5% +1.8% 40% 38% +0.4%
≤90d 122 +4.0% -5.9% 39% 37% -2.3%
all 125 +2.0% -7.7% 38% 36% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.7% 36% -3.6%
10% -16.5% 34% -12.9%
15% -24.6% 33% -21.3%
20% -32.0% 32% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $616.98 · official $616.98 (match) · 499 history records