Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:07:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x768e…2a31
crypto · 791 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$896 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,267 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,267
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses375 / 416
Open positions0
Markets (closed)791 / 791
History coverage9d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day209.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 791 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days−$862
14 days−$1,267
30 days−$1,267
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$21 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$7 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$12 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$20 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $86 +$49 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$11 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$6 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$7 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$7 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$17 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$7 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$9 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$18 -50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,267
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $13 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $12 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 512 -6.9% -15.8% 48% 46% -15.8%
≤30d 791 -5.5% -14.5% 47% 43% -15.2%
≤90d 791 -5.5% -14.5% 47% 43% -15.2%
all 791 -5.5% -14.5% 47% 43% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover209.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 43% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 40% -23.3%
15% -30.2% 38% -30.7%
20% -37.0% 35% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records