Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:13:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x76a5…fd23 crypto 348 markets active 4d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (284 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$98 (-5%) realized −$98 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate50%174W / 174L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day283.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$130
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (284 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 348 -11.3% -19.8% 50% 47% -16.1%
≤30d 348 -11.3% -19.8% 50% 47% -16.1%
≤90d 348 -11.3% -19.8% 50% 47% -16.1%
all 348 -11.3% -19.8% 50% 47% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover283.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 47% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 45% -24.1%
15% -34.5% 41% -31.5%
20% -40.9% 36% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$98
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses174 / 174
Open positions0
Markets (closed)348 / 348
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day283.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 348 Trades
no open positions (158 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$20 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $33 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 607 history records