Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:39:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76ae…098c
other · 17 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$3 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions14
Markets (closed)3 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 14 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No 10¢ 12¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3 +$14 +442%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% +$3
sports 30% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY No 10¢ $1 12h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 12h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 12h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 12h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 12h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 12h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 12h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 12h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+63.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +80.7% +63.5% 33% 33% +7.1%
≤30d 3 +80.7% +63.5% 33% 33% +7.1%
≤90d 3 +80.7% +63.5% 33% 33% +7.1%
all 3 +80.7% +63.5% 33% 33% +7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +63.5% 33% +7.1%
10% +47.9% 33% -3.1%
15% +33.6% 33% -12.5%
20% +20.5% 33% -21.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.79 · official $15.79 (match) · 20 history records