Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:00:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76ba…dcfd
sports · 1048 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$463 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$505 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$528
Realized−$505
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses593 / 434
Est. fees paid−$54
Open positions21
Markets (closed)1027 / 1048
History coverage239d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 21 History 1027 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$154
7 days−$99
14 days−$202
30 days−$211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs ONIC 80¢ 81¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 55¢ 56¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 71¢ 72¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? No 79¢ 78¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar Rafael Jodar 71¢ 66¢ $40 $37 −$3 (-6%)
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann Joao Fonseca 70¢ 69¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty New York Liberty 82¢ 84¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 Over 76¢ 76¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Zachary Svajda 53¢ 53¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 81¢ 81¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 77¢ 76¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Halle Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev 76¢ 76¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Over 76¢ 74¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Jakub Mensik 73¢ 69¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo Atlanta Dream 72¢ 72¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Over 71¢ 70¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Raphael Collignon 65¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Over 60¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz Andrey Rublev 55¢ 55¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 22¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-61%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Taylor Fritz 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +54%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Jun 14 $251 −$224 -89%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 172.5 Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $8 +$2 +26%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $20 +$3 +13%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $6 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 +$3 +59%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl Jun 12 $201 +$54 +27%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $164 +$58 +35%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $16 +$6 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 +$1 +20%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 11 $15 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +76%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $19 +$9 +47%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 11 $201 +$19 +10%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $30 +$13 +41%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $20 +$2 +10%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $28 −$28 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $30 −$30 -99%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 09 $60 −$25 -42%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $60 +$13 +21%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 09 $100 +$8 +8%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Yosuke Watanuki Jun 08 $3 +$1 +38%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $2 +$2 +79%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane Jun 08 $2 +$1 +62%
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MP Jun 07 $99 +$16 +16%
Games Total: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $41 −$40 -98%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $101 −$100 -99%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Liam Draxl Jun 06 $2 +$1 +50%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 06 $2 +$1 +65%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $64 −$64 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Selangor Red Giants (BO5) Jun 05 $101 +$22 +22%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $6 +$2 +38%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Bigetron MY by VIT (BO5) - MPL Jun 05 $50 +$24 +48%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Bigetron MY by VIT (B Jun 04 $201 +$33 +16%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Team Vamos (BO5) - MPL Ma Jun 04 $20 +$11 +53%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $2 +$2 +97%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5 Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$267
other 37% −$254
crypto 1% +$2
world 0% +$19
politics 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 58¢ $10 49m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 81¢ $10 52m
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Joao Fonseca 70¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Jakub Mensik 73¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar BUY Rafael Jodar 71¢ $40 1h
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz BUY Andrey Rublev 55¢ $5 1h
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Joao Fonseca 70¢ $10 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Raphael Collignon 65¢ $5 1h
Halle Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniil Medvedev BUY Daniil Medvedev 76¢ $10 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 77¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 53¢ $10 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 1h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 80¢ $101 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 71¢ $101 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 SELL Over 10¢ $27 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $101 3h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 172.5 SELL Over 100¢ $9 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 100¢ $8 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 100¢ $8 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 88¢ $50 12h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY New York Liberty 82¢ $10 12h
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Atlanta Dream 72¢ $6 12h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 172.5 BUY Over 57¢ $5 12h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 79¢ $8 12h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $20 14h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $5 14h
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 79¢ $50 14h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $6 14h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 60¢ $5 14h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 76¢ $10 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +1.5% -8.2% 65% 57% -15.7%
≤30d 116 -2.8% -12.1% 59% 54% -14.5%
≤90d 303 -3.0% -12.2% 62% 51% -11.7%
all 1027 -2.9% -12.2% 58% 52% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 52% -12.3%
10% -20.6% 44% -20.7%
15% -28.3% 35% -28.3%
20% -35.3% 26% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $527.91 · official $527.93 (match) · 2205 history records