Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T10:42:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x76c2…77e2 crypto 114 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (127 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$192 (+3%) realized +$192 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate86%98W / 16L
Drawdown60%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day127.4pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$206
other 2% −$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (127 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 +0.8% -8.8% 86% 31% -7.8%
≤30d 114 +0.8% -8.8% 86% 31% -7.8%
≤90d 114 +0.8% -8.8% 86% 31% -7.8%
all 114 +0.8% -8.8% 86% 31% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover127.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 31% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 14% -16.7%
15% -25.5% 4% -24.7%
20% -32.8% 2% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
60% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$19 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.34 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$192
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses98 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage2d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day127.4
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 114 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $52 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $169 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $44 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $151 +$17 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $136 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $138 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $120 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $95 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $143 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $137 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $144 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $108 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $36 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $77 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $84 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $89 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $24 −$24 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $74 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $231 +$20 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $171 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $183 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $182 +$16 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $173 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $51 +$15 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $121 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $32 −$8 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $133 +$17 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $82 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $71 −$8 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $111 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $91 +$14 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $90 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $70 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $91 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $70 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 352 history records