Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:13:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76c4…54a5
crypto · 265 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$107 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$107
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses153 / 112
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)265 / 265
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$78
7 days+$18
14 days−$81
30 days−$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Casper Ruud 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% +$5
sports 25% −$110
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 232 +6.5% -3.7% 62% 62% -5.5%
≤30d 246 +3.3% -6.6% 59% 59% -19.0%
≤90d 265 +0.2% -9.3% 58% 58% -21.4%
all 265 +0.2% -9.3% 58% 58% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 58% -21.4%
10% -18.0% 57% -28.9%
15% -25.9% 56% -35.8%
20% -33.2% 56% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 487 history records