Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T10:25:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x76c7…1ed0 sports 1300 markets active 0h ago coverage 44d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (72 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$248 (+0%) realized +$248 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate98%1272W / 27L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown92%max
Avg bet$105per market
Trades / day72.4pace
Fees−$75est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,571
7 days−$624
14 days−$97
30 days+$166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$196
other 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (72 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 258 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 1% -10.3%
≤30d 1119 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 3% -9.4%
≤90d 1299 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 3% -9.4%
all 1299 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 3% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 3% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 1% -18.1%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$75 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized+$248
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1272 / 27
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$75
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1299 / 1300
History coverage44d
Avg bet$105
Trades / day72.4
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1299 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Ystad: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Madison Sieg Madison Sieg 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 2 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Kayseri: Keshav Chopra vs Daniel Phillips Jun 18 $51 +$2 +4%
ITF Haskovo: Iva Ivanova vs Martha Matoula Jun 18 $46 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Lachinova vs Subasic Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Dietrich vs Wessels Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Maanshan: Hoyoung Roh vs Taiyo Yamanaka Jun 18 $15 $0 +1%
ITF Monastir: Lois Newberry vs Marie Hubricht Jun 18 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Zhengzhou: Rinko Matsuda vs Hanna Chang Jun 18 $248 +$2 +1%
ITF Sapporo: Mutsumi Uemura vs Yuhan Liu Jun 18 $248 +$2 +1%
ITF Sapporo: Yuzuha Negishi vs Kamonwan Yodpetch Jun 18 $71 +$1 +1%
ITF Irvine: Patsy Daughters vs Anna Tabunshchyk Jun 17 $104 +$1 +1%
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zheng Jun 17 $248 +$2 +1%
ITF Tulsa: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Gavin Young Jun 17 $103 +$1 +1%
Poznan (Doubles): Karol/Serdarusic vs Sobhy/Zakaria Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Kayseri: Keshav Chopra vs Loan Lestir Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Dinard: Anastasiya Kuparev vs Carla Grignac Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Alexandrova Jun 17 $248 +$2 +1%
ITF San Gregorio: Kiara Nina Kucikova vs Paula Ormaechea Jun 17 $61 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Ionescu vs Buculei Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
ITF San Gregorio: Agnese Gentili vs Anna Lena Ebster Jun 17 $114 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Lazarenko vs Bonaccorso Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Brescia: Fiona Ferro vs Ekaterine Gorgodze Jun 17 $248 +$2 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Frantzen/Haase vs Fokina/Rinderknech Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
ITF Ystad: Tian Jialin vs Anika Jaskova Jun 17 $222 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo Jun 17 $495 +$4 +1%
Royan: Emilien Demanet vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 17 $248 +$2 +1%
Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Jay Clarke Jun 17 $248 +$2 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Valkusz vs Rivera Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
ITF Kayseri: Miroslava Medvedeva vs Ada Kumru Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Samobor: Karlo Kajin vs Dimitar Kuzmanov Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Monastir: Diego Fernandez Flores vs Rocco Piatti Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Jardi vs Desai Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Kincses vs Drab Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $495 +$5 +1%
ITF Lourinha: Rodrigo Fernandes vs Ilya Ivashka Jun 17 $145 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Wehnelt vs Gruenig Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Poljicak vs Barun Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
ITF Mohammedia: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner vs Yasmine Douyeb Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Paszun vs Ozerova Jun 17 $245 +$5 +2%
ITF Dinard: Julie Myatovic vs Margaux Maquet Jun 17 $171 +$2 +1%
ITF Constanta: Gabi Adrian Boitan vs David Ioan Morega Jun 17 $59 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl Jun 17 $495 +$4 +1%
ITF Bolszewo: Julie Pastikova vs Julia Kolodziejska Jun 17 $23 $0 +1%
ITF Klosters: Jenny Duerst vs Elsa Bonelli Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $495 +$4 +1%
ITF Kayseri: Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Semra Aksu Jun 17 $208 +$2 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Garcia vs Dapkute Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
ITF Irvine: Tia Messerli vs Yulia Zhytelna Jun 16 $864 −$863 -100%
ITF Tulsa: Axel Nefve vs Jeffrey John Wolf Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Tulsa: Andrej Martin vs Matisse Farzam Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Tulsa: Alejandro Jacome Jaramillo vs Jie Cui Jun 16 $108 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Ystad: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Madison Sieg SELL Madison Sieg 100¢ $168 17m
ITF Ystad: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Madison Sieg BUY Madison Sieg 99¢ $2 18m
ITF Ystad: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Madison Sieg BUY Madison Sieg 99¢ $166 19m
ITF Kayseri: Keshav Chopra vs Daniel Phillips SELL Keshav Chopra 100¢ $53 1h
ITF Kayseri: Keshav Chopra vs Daniel Phillips BUY Keshav Chopra 96¢ $51 1h
ITF Haskovo: Iva Ivanova vs Martha Matoula SELL Martha Matoula 100¢ $46 1h
ITF Haskovo: Iva Ivanova vs Martha Matoula BUY Martha Matoula 99¢ $46 1h
Set 1 Winner: Lachinova vs Subasic SELL Subasic 100¢ $5 2h
Set 1 Winner: Lachinova vs Subasic BUY Subasic 99¢ $5 2h
Set 1 Winner: Dietrich vs Wessels SELL Dietrich 100¢ $5 2h
Set 1 Winner: Dietrich vs Wessels BUY Dietrich 99¢ $5 2h
ITF Maanshan: Hoyoung Roh vs Taiyo Yamanaka SELL Hoyoung Roh 100¢ $15 3h
ITF Maanshan: Hoyoung Roh vs Taiyo Yamanaka BUY Hoyoung Roh 99¢ $15 4h
ITF Zhengzhou: Rinko Matsuda vs Hanna Chang SELL Rinko Matsuda 100¢ $250 5h
ITF Zhengzhou: Rinko Matsuda vs Hanna Chang BUY Rinko Matsuda 99¢ $248 5h
ITF Sapporo: Mutsumi Uemura vs Yuhan Liu SELL Mutsumi Uemura 100¢ $250 6h
ITF Sapporo: Mutsumi Uemura vs Yuhan Liu BUY Mutsumi Uemura 99¢ $248 6h
ITF Sapporo: Yuzuha Negishi vs Kamonwan Yodpetch SELL Yuzuha Negishi 100¢ $72 6h
ITF Sapporo: Yuzuha Negishi vs Kamonwan Yodpetch BUY Yuzuha Negishi 99¢ $71 7h
ITF Irvine: Patsy Daughters vs Anna Tabunshchyk SELL Patsy Daughters 100¢ $105 12h
ITF Irvine: Patsy Daughters vs Anna Tabunshchyk BUY Patsy Daughters 99¢ $104 12h
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zheng SELL Talia Gibson 100¢ $250 15h
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zheng BUY Talia Gibson 99¢ $27 15h
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zheng BUY Talia Gibson 99¢ $215 15h
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zheng BUY Talia Gibson 99¢ $5 15h
ITF Tulsa: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Gavin Young SELL Gavin Young 100¢ $104 15h
ITF Tulsa: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Gavin Young BUY Gavin Young 99¢ $103 15h
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Alexandrova SELL Sabalenka 100¢ $250 18h
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Alexandrova BUY Sabalenka 99¢ $248 18h
ITF San Gregorio: Agnese Gentili vs Anna Lena Ebster SELL Agnese Gentili 100¢ $115 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.00 · official $2.00 (match) · 3354 history records