Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T00:09:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x76d2…5b9a crypto 1088 markets active 0h ago coverage 97d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$2,429 (-12%) realized −$2,429 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate51%552W / 535L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day20.7pace
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$431
7 days−$734
14 days−$1,896
30 days−$2,780
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% −$1,428
other 15% −$1,351
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 618 -6.7% -15.5% 61% 59% -14.3%
≤30d 1086 -10.9% -19.4% 51% 49% -22.1%
≤90d 1086 -10.9% -19.4% 51% 49% -22.1%
all 1087 -10.8% -19.3% 51% 49% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 49% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 49% -29.6%
15% -34.1% 32% -36.4%
20% -40.5% 25% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$16 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

97d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,429
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses552 / 535
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1087 / 1088
History coverage97d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1087 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $38 +$10 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $27 +$21 +78%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$9 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 18 $27 +$21 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 18 $19 +$29 +152%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $36 +$12 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $33 +$15 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $38 +$10 +27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $14 −$2 -14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $38 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 18 $30 +$18 +60%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 18 $37 −$18 -49%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $38 +$10 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $35 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$23 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 18 $36 +$9 +24%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $38 +$10 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $23 $0 -1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$9 +99%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $11 +$8 +71%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$4 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $36 −$5 -13%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $33 +$15 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 18 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $27 +$7 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$6 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $11 +$8 +68%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$4 +27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$7 +62%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$4 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$4 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $22 +$26 +121%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 18 $36 −$36 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $27 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $14 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $13 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $23 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $27 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $19 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $27 38m
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $36 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $11 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $12 51m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $14 52m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 52m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $16 52m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $14 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $33 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $30 56m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $9 58m
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $31 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $37 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $31 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $30 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $37 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2988 history records