Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76d4…c512
crypto · 108 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,715 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$105 · open +$145
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$570
Realized+$105
Unrealized+$145
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses41 / 47
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Open positions28
Markets (closed)88 / 108
Avg bet$171
Trades / day2934.0
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 28 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$105
7 days+$105
14 days+$105
30 days+$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 91¢ 90¢ $173 $171 −$2 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 6¢ 47¢ $16 $128 +$112 (+696%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $36 $38 +$1 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 46¢ 50¢ $24 $27 +$2 (+10%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $16 $22 +$6 (+38%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Down 10¢ 10¢ $22 $21 −$1 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $18 +$18 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 89¢ 56¢ $25 $16 −$9 (-37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $13 $14 +$1 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 0¢ 48¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 18¢ 57¢ $3 $11 +$7 (+228%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+20%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+0%)
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 43¢ 48¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+13%)
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? No 52¢ 97¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+86%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 72¢ 76¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Down 5¢ 4¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 86¢ 42¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-51%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+7%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 0¢ 52¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m Jun 12 $1 −$2 -200%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $348 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$7 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $483 +$9 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $108 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $386 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $966 +$3 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $166 −$22 -13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$2 -7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $168 +$9 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$4 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $55 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $260 −$4 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$9 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $619 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $697 −$1 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$2 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$11 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$4 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $692 +$8 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $53 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $639 +$33 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $224 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $810 −$28 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$8 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$6 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$12 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $157 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $766 +$8 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$8 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $195 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $841 −$13 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$4 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$245
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $24 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $14 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $17 2m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 13¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $30 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $19 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $39 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $24 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $38 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)+10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +21.9% +10.3% 47% 10% -9.0%
≤30d 88 +21.9% +10.3% 47% 10% -9.0%
≤90d 88 +21.9% +10.3% 47% 10% -9.0%
all 88 +21.9% +10.3% 47% 10% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2934.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.3% 10% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -0.2% 8% -17.7%
15% -9.9% 5% -25.6%
20% -18.7% 2% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $569.92 · official $517.92 · 3500 history records