Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T09:40:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x76de…8641 crypto 71 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$160 (+9%) realized +$160 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate51%34W / 33L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day55.3pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$111
sports 8% +$65
other 4% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -0.8% -10.2% 51% 45% -13.0%
≤30d 67 -0.8% -10.2% 51% 45% -13.0%
≤90d 67 -0.8% -10.2% 51% 45% -13.0%
all 67 -0.8% -10.2% 51% 45% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 45% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 42% -21.3%
15% -26.6% 36% -28.9%
20% -33.8% 30% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -22% → late +20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$15 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses34 / 33
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 71
History coverage5d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day55.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 67 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 26 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 26 $115 −$26 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 26 $83 +$16 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 26 $75 +$39 +53%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 26 $26 −$2 -6%
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 26 $26 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 26 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 26 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 26 $20 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 26 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 26 $8 +$7 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 26 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $52 −$11 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 26 $78 +$31 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 26 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 26 $46 +$16 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$19 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 25 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $26 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $25 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 25 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$3 +62%
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5 AND Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U Jun 25 $51 +$47 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$8 +74%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? Jun 24 $10 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 24 $17 +$7 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 24 $11 +$16 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$8 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $62 +$41 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$41 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 23 $47 −$45 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 23 $52 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $31 −$8 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $52 −$14 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$14 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $31 +$9 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $35 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $30 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $26 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $59 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $28 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $74 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $46 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $66 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $26 59m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 14¢ $24 59m
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 29¢ $23 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 273 history records