Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76e4…ce2f
crypto · 27 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
−$451 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$451 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$451
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses5 / 22
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage17d
Avg bet$8,603
Trades / day159.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$408
7 days−$408
14 days−$450
30 days−$451
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Hong Kong, China 5¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $28 −$12 -43%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 12 $213,037 −$330 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $13,946 −$23 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 10 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 03 $12 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 03 $14 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 03 $11 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 03 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 03 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 03 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$4 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -94%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $4,536 −$7 -0%
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary Jun 03 $44 −$3 -6%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? May 26 $546 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 98% −$353
crypto 2% −$70
world 0% −$1
politics 0% −$3
sports 0% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates BUY Hong Kong, China 1¢ $2 6h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) SELL Team Liquid ID 26¢ $16 6h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates BUY Hong Kong, China 20¢ $10 7h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $161 7h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $161 7h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) BUY Team Liquid ID 44¢ $28 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $14 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $100 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $100 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $221 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $221 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $221 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $222 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $221 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $221 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $222 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $222 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $222 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $223 8h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $223 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-46.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -54.2% -58.5% 14% 14% -9.7%
≤30d 27 -41.0% -46.6% 19% 19% -9.7%
≤90d 27 -41.0% -46.6% 19% 19% -9.7%
all 27 -41.0% -46.6% 19% 19% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover159.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.6% 19% -9.7%
10% -51.7% 15% -18.3%
15% ← realistic here -56.4% 11% -26.2%
20% -60.6% 4% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2675 history records