Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:43:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76f1…f655
sports · 359 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17,590 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,735 · open −$855
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2,296
Realized−$16,735
Unrealized−$855
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses181 / 575
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$754
Open positions19
Markets (closed)756 / 359
History coverage6d
Avg bet$178
Trades / day528.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 19 History 756 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20,442
7 days−$16,735
14 days−$16,735
30 days−$16,735
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 33¢ 100¢ $180 $550 +$371 (+206%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 41¢ 18¢ $690 $313 −$377 (-55%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 87¢ 100¢ $210 $240 +$30 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 78¢ 100¢ $163 $208 +$45 (+28%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 55¢ 66¢ $128 $152 +$24 (+19%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 67¢ 81¢ $120 $147 +$26 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 87¢ 86¢ $144 $144 −$1 (-1%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 82¢ 100¢ $84 $103 +$19 (+22%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 11¢ 11¢ $89 $87 −$2 (-2%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner WLGaming Esports 99¢ 100¢ $70 $71 +$1 (+1%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Eintracht Spandau 45¢ 100¢ $30 $67 +$37 (+122%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 34¢ $92 $64 −$27 (-30%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 63¢ 50¢ $44 $35 −$9 (-20%)
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies West Indies 63¢ 50¢ $32 $25 −$6 (-21%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 38¢ 37¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-3%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Francesco Forti 48¢ 64¢ $12 $17 +$4 (+34%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 52¢ 50¢ $17 $16 −$1 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner SPARTA 34¢ 100¢ $4 $11 +$7 (+194%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Vitality 79¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+27%)
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia 11¢ 50¢ $2 $8 +$6 (+346%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 13¢ 14¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 36¢ 34¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-4%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 45¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 64¢ $503 $0 −$503 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 13¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies Jun 12 $32 −$6 -21%
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-12? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champions Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5) Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Ghools Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Rafael Estevam win by KO or TKO? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Predators vs. Sharks Jun 12 $1,304 −$1,259 -97%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-05? Jun 12 $22 −$18 -81%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Flames vs. Stars: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Valentin Royer Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $28 +$81 +289%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09? Jun 12 $302 −$302 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenko Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,253
other 0% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 61¢ $6 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 61¢ $6 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 61¢ $16 1m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 10¢ $5 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 66¢ $35 2m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka $5 3m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 54¢ $28 4m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 55¢ $84 5m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $79 5m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 46¢ $5 6m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 47¢ $10 6m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 12¢ $6 6m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 44¢ $11 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 44¢ $67 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 43¢ $66 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 45¢ $68 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 42¢ $64 10m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 10¢ $5 10m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 40¢ $61 10m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 10¢ $5 10m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 10¢ $5 11m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 11¢ $6 11m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 71¢ $107 11m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $9 11m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 33¢ $3 12m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $21 13m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $46 13m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $46 14m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $32 14m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $46 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-57.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 756 -53.3% -57.7% 24% 21% -28.4%
≤30d 756 -53.3% -57.7% 24% 21% -28.4%
≤90d 756 -53.3% -57.7% 24% 21% -28.4%
all 756 -53.3% -57.7% 24% 21% -28.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover528.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.7% 21% -28.4%
10% ← realistic here -61.8% 15% -35.3%
15% -65.5% 10% -41.5%
20% -68.9% 7% -47.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,295.88 · official $2,295.90 (match) · 3500 history records