Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:39:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76fa…12f1
crypto · 1312 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$618 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$618 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$618
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses626 / 686
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1312 / 1312
History coverage66d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1312 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$246
7 days+$293
14 days+$69
30 days+$251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$74 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $118 −$113 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$29 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$45 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$38 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$49 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $118 −$113 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$39 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $117 −$113 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$33 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$22 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$30 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$276 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$77 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$71 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$84 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$113 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$26 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $116 +$93 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$60 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$38 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$81 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $78 +$104 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$45 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$38 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$618
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $78 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $39 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $41 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $42 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $39 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $40 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $78 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $41 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $39 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $77 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $41 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $41 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $39 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $41 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $40 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $41 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $62 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $62 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $61 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 250 +7.1% -3.1% 51% 51% -5.9%
≤30d 779 +2.3% -7.5% 51% 51% -8.0%
≤90d 1312 -1.3% -10.7% 48% 48% -11.5%
all 1312 -1.3% -10.7% 48% 48% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 48% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 47% -20.0%
15% -27.1% 46% -27.7%
20% -34.2% 43% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records