Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T06:20:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x76ff…a353 crypto 1378 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (155 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,924 (-6%) realized −$1,924 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -21% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -39% what you keep after slip
Net edge-39%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate72%1297W / 498L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day154.8pace
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 14d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% +$415
other 21% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (155 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-28.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1357 -29.5% -36.2% 66% 1% -30.9%
≤30d 1795 -20.9% -28.4% 72% 13% -28.0%
≤90d 1795 -20.9% -28.4% 72% 13% -28.0%
all 1795 -20.9% -28.4% 72% 13% -28.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover154.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.4% 13% -28.0%
10% ← realistic here -35.2% 6% -34.9%
15% -41.5% 4% -41.2%
20% -47.2% 2% -46.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -21% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -44% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$21 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.14 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,924
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1297 / 498
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1795 / 1378
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day154.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1795 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $50 −$48 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $398 −$398 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 19 $48 −$48 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 36m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 36m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 36m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 36m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 41m
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.78 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records