Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x7722…ab6b
other · 52 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$88 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses13 / 39
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
Avg bet$353
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $15 $0 -0%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 06 $8 $0 -0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 06 $25 $0 +0%
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of Jun 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? Jun 05 $17 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? Jun 05 $24 $0 +0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $78 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $12 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $73 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $15 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 20 $12 $0 -0%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 19 $13 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 19 $67 $0 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? May 12 $62 $0 -0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros May 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $59 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 08 $59 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $63 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $66 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Apr 30 $61 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 27 $62 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $63 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $127 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 19 $60 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $66 $0 -0%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $10 +$6 +62%
Heat vs. Raptors Apr 08 $6 +$6 +93%
Blackhawks vs. Sharks Apr 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers Apr 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Pelicans vs. Kings Apr 06 $16 −$16 -100%
Jets vs. Avalanche Apr 02 $25 −$25 -100%
Canadiens vs. Lightning Apr 02 $22 −$22 -100%
Heat vs. Cavaliers Apr 02 $40 −$40 -100%
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch? Apr 02 $24 $0 +0%
Flames vs. Avalanche Apr 02 $22 +$7 +32%
Kings vs. Flames Mar 25 $21 +$28 +133%
Spurs vs. Heat Mar 24 $24 +$12 +52%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m Mar 23 $47 $0 +0%
Trump out as President by March 31? Mar 06 $89 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February? Mar 05 $4 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 08 $13,529 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 02 $46 −$1 -3%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 14 $11 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $314 −$3 -1%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 31 $1,310 −$3 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 74% −$14
politics 18% −$12
other 5% −$1
sports 2% −$61
crypto 0% $0
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $10 6h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $15 5d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $15 5d
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? SELL No 100¢ $8 6d
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 100¢ $8 6d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $15 6d
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of SELL No 100¢ $10 7d
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of BUY No 100¢ $10 7d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 15d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $15 15d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $15 15d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 16d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 16d
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $17 16d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $24 19d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $15 21d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $15 22d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 22d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 22d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $13 23d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $13 23d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $67 24d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $67 24d
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $62 31d
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $62 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.1% -9.7% 25% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 14 -0.1% -9.6% 21% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 41 -8.7% -17.4% 27% 15% -13.4%
all 52 -7.0% -15.9% 25% 12% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 12% -10.0%
10% -23.9% 12% -18.6%
15% -31.3% 10% -26.4%
20% -38.0% 10% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 247 history records