Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:18:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x7723…18db
crypto · 1420 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$138 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$139 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$139
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses720 / 699
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1419 / 1420
History coverage32d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day75.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1419 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days+$8
14 days+$37
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 52¢ 74¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+43%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$8 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +75%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +69%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $5 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $17 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $16 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $16 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $11 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 543 -4.9% -13.9% 52% 50% -9.3%
≤30d 1295 -5.1% -14.2% 51% 50% -10.4%
≤90d 1419 -5.7% -14.6% 51% 50% -10.5%
all 1419 -5.7% -14.6% 51% 50% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 50% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 49% -19.1%
15% -30.3% 48% -26.9%
20% -37.1% 46% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.29 · official $4.09 (match) · 3500 history records