Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x7735…4740
weather · 125 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,330 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,219 · open +$112
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,779
Realized+$1,219
Unrealized+$112
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses32 / 83
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions10
Markets (closed)115 / 125
History coverage41d
Avg bet$281
Trades / day81.8
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 10 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$150
7 days+$274
14 days+$226
30 days+$372
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Yes 71¢ 97¢ $530 $723 +$193 (+36%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $300 $299 −$1 (-0%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $149 $210 +$60 (+40%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $199 $197 −$2 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $100 $118 +$18 (+18%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $100 $93 −$7 (-7%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $99 $86 −$14 (-14%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $45 $44 −$2 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? Yes 23¢ 2¢ $134 $9 −$125 (-93%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $431 −$431 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $223 −$221 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $124 +$373 +301%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $202 +$497 +246%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $239 −$198 -83%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$2 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $52 −$31 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $129 +$158 +122%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $73 −$73 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $58 −$58 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 9? Jun 09 $52 −$52 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $235 −$182 -78%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $181 +$625 +346%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 8? Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 8? Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8? Jun 08 $82 +$139 +170%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7? Jun 08 $72 +$107 +148%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 7? Jun 08 $37 −$37 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 7? Jun 08 $134 −$134 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 5? Jun 06 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 4? Jun 05 $72 −$72 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 4? Jun 04 $16 +$164 +1037%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 3? Jun 04 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 2? Jun 03 $42 −$42 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 2? Jun 03 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 2? Jun 03 $33 −$33 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 1? Jun 02 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1? Jun 02 $46 +$152 +332%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 31? Jun 01 $93 −$93 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 31? Jun 01 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30? May 31 $58 −$58 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 30? May 30 $52 +$69 +134%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 29? May 30 $103 −$103 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29? May 30 $73 −$73 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29? May 30 $37 +$523 +1420%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 28? May 29 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 27? May 28 $42 −$42 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 27? May 28 $339 +$266 +78%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 27? May 28 $53 −$53 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 27? May 28 $647 −$591 -91%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 26? May 27 $599 −$435 -73%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 26? May 27 $733 +$980 +134%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? May 26 $1,162 −$1,062 -91%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 26? May 26 $73 −$48 -66%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 25? May 25 $446 −$446 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 25? May 25 $158 −$158 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 25? May 25 $454 +$477 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 96% +$1,707
other 3% +$35
sports 1% −$431
crypto 0% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 83¢ $10 30m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 30m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 30m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 30m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 31m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 31m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 31m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? BUY Yes 29¢ $10 48m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $10 48m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 79¢ $10 59m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 80¢ $10 59m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 80¢ $10 59m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 80¢ $10 59m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 79¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 77¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 80¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 79¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -5.0% -14.0% 27% 27% +0.3%
≤30d 85 -2.8% -12.0% 25% 25% -7.8%
≤90d 115 -8.2% -16.9% 28% 28% -6.2%
all 115 -8.2% -16.9% 28% 28% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 28% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 28% -15.2%
15% -32.1% 27% -23.4%
20% -38.8% 23% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,778.54 · official $1,778.54 (match) · 3500 history records