Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:25:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x773e…7502
sports · 264 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,078 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,011 · open −$68
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$192
Realized−$1,011
Unrealized−$68
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses88 / 160
Est. fees paid−$53
Open positions16
Markets (closed)248 / 264
History coverage3d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day487.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 16 History 248 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$759
7 days−$1,011
14 days−$1,011
30 days−$1,011
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 34¢ 56¢ $13 $22 +$8 (+63%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 29¢ 42¢ $15 $21 +$6 (+41%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Johan Alexander Rodriguez 30¢ 53¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+77%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Carlos Maria Zarate 23¢ 48¢ $8 $17 +$9 (+107%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 53¢ 58¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+10%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 44¢ 44¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 54¢ 70¢ $9 $12 +$3 (+29%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 67¢ 47¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-30%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 67¢ 44¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-34%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 83¢ 52¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-36%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 72¢ 38¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-48%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 61¢ 62¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 50¢ 58¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+17%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 68¢ 30¢ $15 $7 −$8 (-56%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 51¢ 42¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-19%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 47¢ 21¢ $8 $4 −$4 (-55%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 31¢ 30¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 63¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Lanlana Tararudee 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-96%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Raul Brancaccio 20¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-92%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Akasha Urhobo 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 56¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren August Holmgren 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 44¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $8 +$5 +63%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $18 −$9 -53%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $22 −$15 -67%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $22 −$10 -44%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $22 −$7 -31%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $20 −$10 -52%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $15 +$4 +24%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $27 −$15 -56%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $19 −$15 -78%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $27 −$12 -44%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $43 −$25 -58%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $7 +$1 +17%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $14 −$14 -98%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $11 −$9 -89%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $19 −$4 -21%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $9 $0 +0%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $49 +$2 +3%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $53 −$17 -32%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $4 +$7 +180%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $102 −$40 -39%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $11 +$14 +126%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 $0 +17%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $8 −$4 -53%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $8 +$5 +62%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $18 −$10 -55%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $11 +$2 +20%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $20 −$5 -26%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $23 −$15 -64%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) Jun 11 $7 +$2 +32%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $33 −$7 -22%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $7 −$3 -43%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +65%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $4 +$2 +42%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $10 −$1 -12%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $16 +$10 +64%
ITF Zagreb: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Ipek Oz Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $34 −$21 -63%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $27 −$19 -69%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $25 −$13 -52%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $37 −$20 -53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,078
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 22¢ $4 3m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 22¢ $4 4m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 62¢ $3 6m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 45¢ $2 7m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 100¢ $13 7m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 45¢ $2 7m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Harmony Tan 99¢ $23 7m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 3¢ $0 9m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 48¢ $4 9m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 8¢ $4 10m
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 100¢ $13 12m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 33¢ $2 14m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 33¢ $4 15m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 8¢ $0 15m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 8¢ $0 15m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo SELL Celine Naef 100¢ $18 16m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 99¢ $27 16m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 26¢ $3 17m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 26¢ $1 17m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 55¢ $2 23m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 67¢ $3 24m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 23¢ $4 24m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 23¢ $4 24m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 67¢ $4 24m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 67¢ $4 24m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 82¢ $3 26m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 82¢ $4 26m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 53¢ $1 26m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 53¢ $4 26m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 53¢ $4 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-41.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 248 -35.8% -41.9% 35% 30% -47.3%
≤30d 248 -35.8% -41.9% 35% 30% -47.3%
≤90d 248 -35.8% -41.9% 35% 30% -47.3%
all 248 -35.8% -41.9% 35% 30% -47.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover487.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.9% 30% -47.3%
10% ← realistic here -47.5% 25% -52.4%
15% -52.6% 19% -57.0%
20% -57.2% 16% -61.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $191.99 · official $194.45 · 1475 history records