Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:27:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x7747…8d9b
sports · 279 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$90 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$121 · open −$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$94
Realized+$121
Unrealized−$31
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses93 / 185
Est. fees paid−$178
Open positions1
Markets (closed)278 / 279
History coverage161d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 278 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$322
7 days+$290
14 days−$56
30 days+$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 34¢ 26¢ $126 $94 −$31 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $133 −$21 -16%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $149 −$72 -49%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $123 −$37 -30%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $76 −$13 -17%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $72 +$207 +287%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $89 +$69 +78%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $213 −$48 -22%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $215 −$38 -18%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $144 −$18 -12%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $74 +$125 +170%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $31 +$98 +316%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $66 −$21 -32%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $149 +$10 +7%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $86 +$93 +108%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $181 −$12 -6%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $52 +$10 +19%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $113 −$30 -26%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $99 +$36 +36%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $94 −$28 -30%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $143 −$88 -62%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $62 +$66 +107%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $51 +$15 +28%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $44 −$44 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $67 −$24 -35%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $57 +$10 +18%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $126 −$126 -100%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $103 −$52 -50%
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 09 $97 −$21 -22%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $127 +$10 +8%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $180 +$160 +89%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 08 $103 −$6 -6%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $84 −$26 -32%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering Jun 08 $90 −$61 -68%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane Jun 08 $116 +$90 +77%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $69 +$34 +49%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $103 +$42 +41%
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Filippo Romano Jun 05 $89 −$89 -100%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 05 $62 +$46 +75%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 05 $151 −$36 -24%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva Jun 04 $84 +$5 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 04 $339 −$200 -59%
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $72 −$72 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame May 28 $145 +$51 +35%
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik May 27 $369 +$178 +48%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungelliti May 27 $73 −$29 -40%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tiran May 27 $154 −$46 -30%
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet May 26 $182 −$26 -14%
Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouame May 26 $163 +$216 +133%
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov May 26 $52 −$52 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka May 25 $23 +$28 +122%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$111
other 1% −$21
world 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 34¢ $129 10m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 54¢ $112 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $133 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic SELL Iva Jovic 29¢ $76 9h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 54¢ $149 9h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 30¢ $86 11h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 41¢ $123 12h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 32¢ $63 13h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 37¢ $76 13h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $279 13h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel SELL Dane Sweeny 63¢ $158 14h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 25¢ $72 14h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 34¢ $89 14h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Sho Shimabukuro 42¢ $165 15h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 52¢ $213 16h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 37¢ $107 33h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 44¢ $133 34h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 43¢ $126 34h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 30¢ $70 34h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 47¢ $144 34h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 100¢ $199 34h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 34¢ $82 34h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 99¢ $128 35h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 36¢ $74 35h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 23¢ $31 36h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Henrique Rocha 24¢ $45 36h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 50¢ $118 36h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 34¢ $66 37h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 33¢ $82 37h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Federico Cina 25¢ $41 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +19.6% +8.2% 44% 39% -2.6%
≤30d 54 +7.7% -2.5% 41% 35% -6.5%
≤90d 54 +7.7% -2.5% 41% 35% -6.5%
all 278 -3.0% -12.3% 33% 29% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 29% -9.0%
10% -20.7% 24% -17.7%
15% -28.3% 17% -25.7%
20% -35.4% 13% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.21 · official $120.08 · 849 history records