Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:51:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x774a…bb11
crypto · 293 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$61 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$62 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$62
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses149 / 143
Open positions1
Markets (closed)292 / 293
History coverage3d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day309.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 292 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$99
7 days+$62
14 days+$62
30 days+$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 59¢ 48¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$7 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$14 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$61
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 292 +3.9% -6.0% 51% 44% -7.2%
≤30d 292 +3.9% -6.0% 51% 44% -7.2%
≤90d 292 +3.9% -6.0% 51% 44% -7.2%
all 292 +3.9% -6.0% 51% 44% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover309.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.0% 44% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.0% 36% -16.1%
15% -23.2% 27% -24.2%
20% -30.7% 15% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.38 · official $2.38 (match) · 1209 history records