Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:34:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x7754…b8e7
crypto · 1289 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$65 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$66 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$66
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses773 / 619
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1392 / 1289
History coverage13d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day194.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1392 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$968
7 days−$1,052
14 days−$66
30 days−$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 56¢ 86¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$882
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 761 -23.0% -30.4% 45% 41% -33.1%
≤30d 1392 -8.2% -17.0% 56% 54% -9.9%
≤90d 1392 -8.2% -17.0% 56% 54% -9.9%
all 1392 -8.2% -17.0% 56% 54% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover194.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 54% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 48% -18.5%
15% -32.2% 44% -26.4%
20% -38.8% 36% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.05 · official $2.80 (match) · 3500 history records