Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:18:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x7777…6073
crypto · 174 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$57 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses117 / 52
Open positions5
Markets (closed)169 / 174
History coverage3d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day191.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$59
14 days−$59
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Down 26¢ 36¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+38%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? No 45¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+17%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? No 48¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? No 49¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? No 49¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$6 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -5.1% -14.1% 69% 50% -14.1%
≤30d 169 -5.1% -14.1% 69% 50% -14.1%
≤90d 169 -5.1% -14.1% 69% 50% -14.1%
all 169 -5.1% -14.1% 69% 50% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover191.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 50% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 28% -22.3%
15% -29.8% 11% -29.8%
20% -36.7% 4% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.93 · official $13.93 (match) · 648 history records