Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

77
0x777e…2836
crypto · 1833 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$200 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$199 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$199
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses983 / 589
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1572 / 1833
History coverage26d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day96.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1572 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,051
7 days−$1,469
14 days−$85
30 days−$199
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$1,965
sports 0% +$27
other 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 567 +17.7% +6.5% 62% 61% -34.5%
≤30d 1572 +17.8% +6.6% 63% 62% -10.8%
≤90d 1572 +17.8% +6.6% 63% 62% -10.8%
all 1572 +17.8% +6.6% 63% 62% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.6% 62% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -3.6% 62% -19.3%
15% -13.0% 62% -27.1%
20% -21.5% 62% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.04 · official $1.04 (match) · 3500 history records