trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 17% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 17% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 21 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 52% | 5% | -8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 5% | -8.3% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 5% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 0% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -31.7% | 0% | -32.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 48¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $63 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 02 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 202 | Jun 24 | $11 | +$4 | +35% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June? | Jun 04 | $10 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Jun 03 | $10 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 06 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 27 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 27 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'Novocaine' gross more than 11m on opening weekend? | Mar 15 | $12 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 14 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14? | Mar 14 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 67°F or higher on March 11? | Mar 13 | $12 | $0 | +1% |