Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T10:15:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
77 0x778b…edb7 crypto 13 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$19 (+2%) realized +$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%13W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$89per market
Trades / day15.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.5%
≤30d 13 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.5%
≤90d 13 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.5%
all 13 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 0% -7.5%
10% -16.1% 0% -16.4%
15% -24.2% 0% -24.4%
20% -31.6% 0% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 26% · top 2 45% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses13 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 13 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 24 $120 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 24 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 24 $110 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $100 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $101 +$7 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 24 $99 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 26 history records