trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 75% | 33% | -7.9% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +1.5% | -8.1% | 82% | 47% | -2.2% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 84% | 56% | +0.4% |
| all | 25 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 84% | 56% | +0.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.7% | 56% | +0.4% |
| 10% | -12.9% | 40% | -9.2% |
| 15% | -21.3% | 12% | -17.9% |
| 20% | -29.1% | 4% | -26.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $140 | $139 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 89¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | No | 55¢ | 55¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | No | 83¢ | 80¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 17 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Jun 17 | $31 | +$1 | +4% |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | Jun 17 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$2 | +7% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$6 | +21% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$21 | +42% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$17 | +34% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $100 | +$17 | +17% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Jun 01 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 01 | $180 | +$29 | +16% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $20 | +$5 | +23% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | May 25 | $100 | +$17 | +17% |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | May 20 | $10 | +$2 | +25% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $20 | +$14 | +70% |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $46 | +$16 | +35% |
| Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | May 17 | $10 | +$4 | +37% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 16 | $40 | +$11 | +28% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | May 16 | $10 | +$3 | +33% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | May 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | May 09 | $110 | +$8 | +7% |